Sportpark Nord · Analysis updated 05:31 UTC
Bonner SC vs Bochum II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Bonner SC and 1.36 for Bochum II, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Bonner SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Bonner SC to Win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–06.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bonner SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 24% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Bonner SC and 1.36 for Bochum II, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Bonner SC to Win is the headline pick at 45% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Bonner SC
Bochum II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfalia Rhynern | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Gutersloh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Hilden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Köln II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Bocholt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bergisch Gladbach | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Paderborn II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Rodinghausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bonner SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Wiedenbrück | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.