Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Borac Banja Luka and 1.10 for Vikingur Reykjavik, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Borac Banja Luka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Borac Banja Luka win

69.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Borac Banja Luka home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vikingur Reykjavik away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borac Banja Luka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 1.10 for Vikingur Reykjavik, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Borac Banja Luka win70%

Draw17%

Vikingur Reykjavik win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

2–19.2%
2–08.4%
3–18.0%
3–07.2%
1–17.1%

Recent form

Borac Banja Luka

2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs BSK Banja Luka · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Bijeljina · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Siroki Brijeg · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sloga Doboj · 2-1 (W)

Vikingur Reykjavik

2026-10-11T19:15:00.000Z · H vs IA Akranes · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KR Reykjavik · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-14T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Keflavik · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fram Reykjavik · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-01T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KR Reykjavik · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-27T18:30:00.000Z · Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavik (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2026-08-20T18:00:00.000Z · Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavik (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2024-11-07T14:30:00.000Z · Borac Banja Luka 0-2 Vikingur Reykjavik (UEFA Europa Conference League)

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Borac Banja Luka win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.