Borac Cacak vs Napredak Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Borac Cacak and 0.90 for Napredak, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Borac Cacak the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Borac Cacak win

49.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Borac Cacak home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Napredak away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borac Cacak to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 27% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Borac Cacak and 0.90 for Napredak, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Borac Cacak win50%

Draw27%

Napredak win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–013.8%
1–112.4%
2–010.0%
0–09.5%
2–19.0%

Recent form

Borac Cacak

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs TSC Backa Topola · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Teleoptik · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalac GM · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Bor 1919 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 2-1 (W)

Napredak

2026-10-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Loznica · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Vozdovac · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Semendrija 1924 · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Vršac · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prva Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	TSC Backa Topola	14	8	6	0	18	30
2	Borac Cacak	14	9	2	3	7	29
3	Javor	14	7	6	1	18	27
4	Semendrija 1924	14	7	4	3	7	25
5	OFK Vršac	14	8	1	5	4	25
6	Napredak	14	6	3	5	-1	21
7	FK Vozdovac	14	5	4	5	2	19
8	Loznica	14	4	7	3	-2	19
9	Dubočica	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Metalac GM	14	5	3	6	-3	18
11	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Naftagas	14	3	6	5	4	15
13	Teleoptik	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Grafičar	14	3	2	9	-9	11
15	Jedinstvo Ub	14	3	2	9	-10	11
16	OFK Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	-20	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Borac Cacak win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.