Borussia Dortmund II vs Westfalia Rhynern Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.25 for Westfalia Rhynern, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Borussia Dortmund II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Borussia Dortmund II win

54.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Borussia Dortmund II home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Westfalia Rhynern away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia Dortmund II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.25 for Westfalia Rhynern, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Borussia Dortmund II win55%

Draw22%

Westfalia Rhynern win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–19.7%
2–19.7%
1–07.8%
2–07.8%
3–16.5%

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund II

2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Westfalia Rhynern · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Rodinghausen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'gladbach II · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 II · 3-1 (W)

Westfalia Rhynern

2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bonner SC · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bergisch Gladbach · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Köln II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund II · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum II · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 Westfalia Rhynern (Regionalliga - West)

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	12	10	1	1	21	31
2	Borussia Dortmund II	12	8	4	0	13	28
3	Borussia M'gladbach II	12	7	2	3	13	23
4	FC Gutersloh	12	7	2	3	8	23
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	12	5	4	3	6	19
6	Bonner SC	12	4	6	2	4	18
7	Schalke 04 II	11	6	0	5	4	18
8	Westfalia Rhynern	12	5	2	5	-3	17
9	Bergisch Gladbach	12	5	1	6	-7	16
10	Hilden	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Köln II	11	4	2	5	0	14
12	Bochum II	12	4	2	6	-5	14
13	FC Bocholt	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Paderborn II	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	12	3	3	6	-5	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	12	2	3	7	-6	9
17	Wiedenbrück	12	2	2	8	-15	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	12	1	3	8	-14	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Borussia Dortmund II win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.