· Analysis updated 03:56 UTC
Borussia Dortmund U19 vs RW Oberhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund U19 and 1.40 for RW Oberhausen U19, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Borussia Dortmund U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Borussia Dortmund U19 win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
2.55 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RW Oberhausen U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia Dortmund U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 18% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.55 goals for Borussia Dortmund U19 and 1.40 for RW Oberhausen U19, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–06.3%
- 2–26.1%
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund U19
RW Oberhausen U19
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Borussia Dortmund U19 win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.