· Analysis updated 18:09 UTC
Borussia Hildesheim vs Heeslinger SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.95 for Heeslinger SC, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Heeslinger SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Borussia Hildesheim home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Heeslinger SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heeslinger SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 21% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.95 for Heeslinger SC, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.2%
Recent form
Borussia Hildesheim
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Heeslinger SC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-0 (W)
Heeslinger SC
- 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Verden 04 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vorsfelde · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niedersachsen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Wilhelmshaven | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Heeslinger SC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Spelle-Venhaus | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Borussia Hildesheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Meppen II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Bersenbrück | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Verden 04 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Nordhorn | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 13 |
| 12 | Germania Egestorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 11 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Hemmingen | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -20 | 7 |
| 15 | Drochtersen/Assel II | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Vorsfelde | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -19 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.