· Analysis updated 06:24 UTC
Borussia Hildesheim vs Hemelingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.95 expected goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.05 for Hemelingen, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Borussia Hildesheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Borussia Hildesheim win
86.3% probability
Expected goals
3.95 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Borussia Hildesheim home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hemelingen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia Hildesheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 8% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.95 goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.05 for Hemelingen, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.3%
- 4–17.2%
- 3–06.9%
- 4–06.8%
- 5–15.7%
Recent form
Borussia Hildesheim
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Heeslinger SC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-0 (W)
Hemelingen
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aumund-Vegesack · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oberneuland · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eiche Horn · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwachhausen · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Woltmershausen · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Borussia Hildesheim win, at 86.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.