Borussia Hildesheim vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.40 for Wilhelmshaven, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Wilhelmshaven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Borussia Hildesheim home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wilhelmshaven away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wilhelmshaven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 35% / 26% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for Borussia Hildesheim and 1.40 for Wilhelmshaven, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Borussia Hildesheim win35%

Draw26%

Wilhelmshaven win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.2%
0–19.2%
1–08.7%
1–28.5%
2–18.1%

Recent form

Borussia Hildesheim

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Heeslinger SC · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-0 (W)

Wilhelmshaven

2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Verden 04 · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-03-22T14:00:00.000Z · Borussia Hildesheim 1-0 Wilhelmshaven (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
2025-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · Borussia Hildesheim 4-2 Wilhelmshaven (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
2025-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · Borussia Hildesheim 2-2 Wilhelmshaven (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
2024-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · Borussia Hildesheim 4-0 Wilhelmshaven (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	8	2	2	18	26
2	Wilhelmshaven	11	7	3	1	14	24
3	Heeslinger SC	11	6	4	1	17	22
4	Spelle-Venhaus	11	6	4	1	11	22
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	6	3	1	10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	6	2	3	5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	5	2	3	6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	5	1	5	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Verden 04	12	3	4	5	1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	3	4	5	-13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	2	3	5	-9	9
13	Hemmingen	11	2	1	8	-20	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	0	6	4	-5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	1	2	8	-19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.