· Analysis updated 08:41 UTC
Borussia M'gladbach II vs Bochum II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Borussia M'gladbach II and 1.13 for Bochum II, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Borussia M'gladbach II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Borussia M'gladbach II win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Borussia M'gladbach II home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Bochum II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia M'gladbach II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Borussia M'gladbach II and 1.13 for Bochum II, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–17.9%
Recent form
Borussia M'gladbach II
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sportfreunde Lotte · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stoke City U21 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Gutersloh · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund II · 0-0 (D)
Bochum II
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Rodinghausen · 6-5 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'gladbach II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hilden · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Westfalia Rhynern · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund II | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Gutersloh | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Köln II | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Westfalia Rhynern | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Schalke 04 II | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Hilden | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | Bonner SC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | FC Bocholt | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Bergisch Gladbach | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Bochum II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Paderborn II | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | SV Rodinghausen | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Wiedenbrück | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 8 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Borussia M'gladbach II win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.