Grenzlandstadion · Analysis updated 08:49 UTC
Borussia Monchengladbach W vs Wolfsburg II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Borussia Monchengladbach W and 1.88 for Wolfsburg II W, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Borussia Monchengladbach W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.3% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Borussia Monchengladbach W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wolfsburg II W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia Monchengladbach W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for Borussia Monchengladbach W and 1.88 for Wolfsburg II W, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.3%
Recent form
Borussia Monchengladbach W
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGS Essen W · 1-5 (L)
Wolfsburg II W
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-15T13:00:00.000Z · Borussia Monchengladbach W 5-0 Wolfsburg II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2025-10-05T12:00:00.000Z · Borussia Monchengladbach W 0-5 Wolfsburg II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2024-05-12T09:00:00.000Z · Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 Wolfsburg II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2023-11-18T13:00:00.000Z · Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 Wolfsburg II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.