Terrain De Football De Fontainemelon A · Analysis updated 23:24 UTC
Bosna Neuchâtel vs Lommiswil Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Bosna Neuchâtel and 0.84 for Lommiswil, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Bosna Neuchâtel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bosna Neuchâtel win
64.6% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lommiswil away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bosna Neuchâtel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 21% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Bosna Neuchâtel and 0.84 for Lommiswil, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 49%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.7%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–07.8%
Recent form
Bosna Neuchâtel
Lommiswil
- 2025-08-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina Bern · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pratteln · 4-1 (W)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyss · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bosporus · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajoie-Monterri · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Boys | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Bosporus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy II | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Düdingen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Bosna Neuchâtel | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Dornach | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Ajoie-Monterri | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Pratteln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Ueberstorf | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Allschwil | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 11 | Muri-Gümligen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Lyss | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Binningen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lerchenfeld | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | Lommiswil | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Tavannes / Tramelan | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | -28 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bosna Neuchâtel win, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.