Denmark · Kvindeliga · Matchweek 811:00
Brøndby WLDWWW

4 – 0

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:20 UTC

Brøndby W vs Fortuna Hjørring W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Brøndby W and 2.48 for Fortuna Hjørring W, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Fortuna Hjørring W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Fortuna Hjørring W win

63.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.28 – 2.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brøndby W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Fortuna Hjørring W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Brøndby W win18%
Draw18%
Fortuna Hjørring W win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–37.6%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 0–35.9%

Recent form

Brøndby W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 3-0 (W)

Fortuna Hjørring W

  • 2026-10-04T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordsjælland W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-03T09:30:00.000Z · Brøndby W 2-0 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2026-03-15T11:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 2-1 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2025-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 0-2 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2025-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 0-0 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2025-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 1-1 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2025-03-22T12:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 0-0 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2024-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 2-2 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2024-08-11T10:30:00.000Z · Brøndby W 0-3 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2024-06-08T13:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 2-1 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)
  • 2024-03-24T14:00:00.000Z · Brøndby W 0-0 Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeliga)

Kvindeliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Køge W129212029
2Nordsjælland W116412022
3Brøndby W126331621
4Fortuna Hjørring W126331321
5Midtjylland W12633321
6ASA Aarhus W12615-419
7KoldingQ W12417-1013
8Odense Q W12417-1513
9FC Copenhagen W122010-246
10AGF W111010-193

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Fortuna Hjørring W win, at 63.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.