World · UEFA Champions League Women · 1st Round - 3rd Place Finals10:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 7 September 2024

Brøndby IF's anlæg · Referee F. Wildfeuer · Analysis updated 21:56 UTC

Brøndby W vs Kolos Kovalivka W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Brøndby W and 0.93 for Kolos Kovalivka W, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Brøndby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Brøndby W win

71.3% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.48 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brøndby W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kolos Kovalivka W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brøndby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.48 goals for Brøndby W and 0.93 for Kolos Kovalivka W, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Brøndby W win71%
Draw17%
Kolos Kovalivka W win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–08.4%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 3–17.8%

Recent form

Brøndby W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 3-0 (W)

Kolos Kovalivka W

  • 2026-08-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Torreense W · 1-6 (L)
  • 2025-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vllaznia W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vllaznia W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2024-09-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2024-09-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Champions League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W220096
2Lyon W211084
3Paris Saint Germain W211054
4Bayern Munich W211034
5Arsenal W211014
6Inter Milano W211014
7Chelsea W211014
8Køge W210133
9Juventus W210123
10SL Benfica W2101-23
11Manchester City W202002
12Real Madrid W202002
13Austria Wien W2011-11
14Paris FC W2011-31
15OH Leuven W2011-51
16Roma W2011-61
17Häcken W2002-40
18Servette Chênois W2002-120

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Brøndby W win, at 71.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.