Stadio Attilio Bravi · Analysis updated 13:21 UTC
Bra vs Saluzzo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Bra and 1.40 for Saluzzo, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Saluzzo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Saluzzo win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bra home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Saluzzo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Saluzzo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 19% / 28% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Bra and 1.40 for Saluzzo, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.1%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–212.0%
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.6%
Recent form
Bra
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Saluzzo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Celle Varazze · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanremese · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Borgosesia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Biellese · 0-1 (L)
Saluzzo
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ligorna · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Derthona · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanremese · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Celle Varazze · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Borgosesia · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie D - Girone A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Asti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Chisola | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Imperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lascaris | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sanremese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Borgosesia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Saluzzo win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.