· Analysis updated 17:37 UTC
Brabrand vs B 93 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Brabrand and 1.42 for B 93, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives B 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
B 93 win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brabrand home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
B 93 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 0–28.7%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 13.4%), compared with our model probability.
Best value: Both teams to score — No at 2.30 (model 51.2% vs market 39.9%, edge +11.3 pts).
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | NoValue | 2.30 | 39.9% | 51.2% | 1.95 | +11.3 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 1.75 | 53.2% | 54.0% | 1.85 | +0.8 |
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 1.29 | 72.2% | 72.7% | 1.38 | +0.5 |
| Match result | Home | 3.25 | 27.1% | 27.3% | 3.66 | +0.2 |
| Match result | Draw | 3.30 | 26.7% | 26.7% | 3.75 | -0.0 |
| Match result | Away | 1.91 | 46.2% | 46.0% | 2.17 | -0.2 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.25 | 74.5% | 73.3% | 1.36 | -1.2 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.53 | 60.1% | 48.8% | 2.05 | -11.3 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
Brabrand
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nykobing FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Viborg · 2-1 (W)
B 93
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2022-11-19T13:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 1-2 B 93 (2. Division)
- 2022-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 0-4 B 93 (2. Division)
- 2022-04-02T12:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 3-3 B 93 (2. Division)
- 2021-08-07T11:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 1-0 B 93 (2. Division)
- 2021-05-01T12:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 1-2 B 93 (2nd Division - Group 1)
- 2020-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · Brabrand 2-3 B 93 (2nd Division - Group 1)
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Naestved | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | B 93 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | HIK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is B 93 win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.