· Analysis updated 08:32 UTC
Brabrand vs Fremad Amager Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Brabrand and 1.35 for Fremad Amager, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Brabrand the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brabrand home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fremad Amager away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brabrand to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Brabrand and 1.35 for Fremad Amager, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Brabrand
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nykobing FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Viborg · 2-1 (W)
Fremad Amager
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naestved · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Naestved | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | B 93 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | HIK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.