Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Bracknell Town and 1.25 for Gosport Borough, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Bracknell Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Gosport Borough away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bracknell Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Bracknell Town and 1.25 for Gosport Borough, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Bracknell Town win41%

Draw26%

Gosport Borough win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.4%
1–09.9%
0–18.8%
2–18.7%
1–27.7%

Recent form

Bracknell Town

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poole Town · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gosport Borough · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Didcot Town · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Havant & Wville · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wimborne Town · 0-2 (L)

Gosport Borough

2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bracknell Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiverton Town · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Basingstoke Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Taunton Town · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Plymouth Parkway · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Premier - Southern South table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	9	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	15	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	9	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	10	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	12	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	2	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	7	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	7	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	4	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	11	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	2	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	-2	16
13	Basingstoke Town	13	4	3	6	-4	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	-14	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	-9	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	-11	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	-4	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	-4	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	-15	11
20	Gloucester City	10	2	4	4	-3	10
21	Havant & Wville	13	2	3	8	-8	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	-14	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.