· Analysis updated 08:30 UTC
Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Sheffield Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Bradford (Park Avenue) and 1.07 for Sheffield, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Bradford (Park Avenue) the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bradford (Park Avenue) win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bradford (Park Avenue) home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sheffield away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bradford (Park Avenue) to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Bradford (Park Avenue) and 1.07 for Sheffield, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Bradford (Park Avenue)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Guiseley AFC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lancaster City · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Curzon Ashton · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stalybridge Celtic · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gainsborough Trinity · 2-0 (W)
Sheffield
- 2026-07-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Bradford (Park Avenue) · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallam · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bootle · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-08-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Albion Sports · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Albion Sports · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bradford (Park Avenue) win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.