Bradford vs Peterborough Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Bradford and 0.91 for Peterborough, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Bradford the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Bradford win

58.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.81 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bradford home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Peterborough away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bradford win59%

Draw23%

Peterborough win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–011.9%
1–110.8%
2–010.8%
2–19.8%
0–06.6%

Recent form

Bradford

2026-10-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rotherham · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Reading · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-22T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Newcastle United U21 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Luton · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Notts County · 1-0 (W)

Peterborough

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockport County · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Colchester · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Doncaster · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-15T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Barnsley · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Milton Keynes Dons · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
2019-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
2018-12-11T19:45:00.000Z · Bradford 8-8 Peterborough (FA Cup)
2018-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-2 Peterborough (FA Cup)
2018-11-17T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
2017-12-26T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-3 Peterborough (League One)
2017-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
2017-03-04T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-0 Peterborough (League One)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bradford win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.