Romania · Cupa României · Round of 1614:30

9 – 0

Wednesday, 29 July 2026

· Analysis updated 04:47 UTC

Bradul Putna vs Bucovina Rădăuţi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Bradul Putna and 1.37 for Bucovina Rădăuţi, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Bradul Putna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bradul Putna win

55.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bradul Putna home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bucovina Rădăuţi away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bradul Putna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Bradul Putna and 1.37 for Bucovina Rădăuţi, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bradul Putna win56%
Draw20%
Bucovina Rădăuţi win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–06.8%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.4%

Recent form

Bradul Putna

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Adjud · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bacău II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs USV Iaşi · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Onesti · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Târgu Secuiesc · 1-3 (L)

Bucovina Rădăuţi

  • 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bradul Putna · 0-9 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Aerostar Bacau · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs USV Iaşi · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bacău II · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Odorheiu Secuiesc · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bradul Putna win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.