Romania · Liga III - Serie 1 · Group 1 - 314:00
Bradul PutnaDWWWL

1 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:14 UTC

Bradul Putna vs Odorheiu Secuiesc Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Bradul Putna and 1.25 for Odorheiu Secuiesc, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Bradul Putna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bradul Putna win

49.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Odorheiu Secuiesc away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bradul Putna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 24% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Bradul Putna and 1.25 for Odorheiu Secuiesc, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Bradul Putna win49%
Draw24%
Odorheiu Secuiesc win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–26.8%

Recent form

Bradul Putna

    Odorheiu Secuiesc

    • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bradul Putna · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM FC Vaslui · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gheorgheni · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Gheorgheni · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga III - Serie 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1CSM FC Vaslui108201426
    2Târgu Secuiesc10622920
    3CSM Adjud10532918
    4USV Iaşi10532418
    5Bradul Putna10523817
    6Aerostar Bacau10424214
    7Odorheiu Secuiesc10352214
    8FC Bacău II10424-714
    9Gheorgheni10235-59
    10Viitorul Onesti10136-46
    11Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ10046-164
    12Paşcani10037-163

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Bradul Putna win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

    A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.