Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B · Group B - 1509:15

09:15 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

SlanýWDWWL

· Analysis updated 15:30 UTC

Brandýs nad Labem vs Slaný Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Brandýs nad Labem and 1.48 for Slaný, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Brandýs nad Labem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Brandýs nad Labem win

53.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brandýs nad Labem home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slaný away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brandýs nad Labem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Brandýs nad Labem and 1.48 for Slaný, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Brandýs nad Labem win54%
Draw21%
Slaný win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–26.1%

Recent form

Brandýs nad Labem

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostrov · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)

Slaný

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem II · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Chomutov · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chomutov129121528
2Újezd Praha 412732624
3Rapid Psáry127231423
4Sokol Hostouň117131622
5Slaný125341218
6Baník Sokolov12606518
7Brandýs nad Labem12606118
8Štětí12534118
9Karlovy Vary12525317
10Tempo Praha12525317
11Meteor Praha11515016
12Slovan Velvary12426-1014
13Hvězda Cheb12318-1410
14Slavoj Vyšehrad12318-1410
15Ostrov12318-1710
16Ústí nad Labem II12237-219

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Brandýs nad Labem win, at 53.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.