Varden Amfi · Analysis updated 13:29 UTC
Brann II vs Austevoll Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.85 expected goals for Brann II and 1.83 for Austevoll, a combined total of 4.68. That distribution gives Brann II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Brann II win
59.1% probability
Expected goals
2.85 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brann II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austevoll away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 17% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.85 goals for Brann II and 1.83 for Austevoll, a combined 4.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.9%
- 3–16.6%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.9%
Recent form
Brann II
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 4-4 (D)
Austevoll
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gneist · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brann II win, at 59.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.