Varden Amfi · Analysis updated 05:59 UTC
Brann II vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Brann II and 1.50 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined total of 4.38. That distribution gives Brann II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brann II win
65.8% probability
Expected goals
2.88 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brann II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fyllingsdalen away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 16% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Brann II and 1.50 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined 4.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–25.6%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Brann II
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 4-4 (D)
Fyllingsdalen
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brann II win, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.