Norway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · Matchweek 1616:00
Brann IIDLLWW

1 – 3

Monday, 17 August 2026

OsWWDLW

Varden Amfi · Analysis updated 14:29 UTC

Brann II vs Os Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Brann II and 3.10 for Os, a combined total of 5.35. That distribution gives Os the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Os win

55.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 3.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brann II home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Os away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Os to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 28% / 17% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Brann II and 3.10 for Os, a combined 5.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Brann II win28%
Draw17%
Os win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams to score85%

Correct score

  • 2–36.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–35.3%
  • 1–25.1%
  • 2–44.6%

Recent form

Brann II

  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 4-4 (D)

Os

  • 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal II · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os2418154155
2Djerv2416533153
3Fana2414282244
4Vard2413562144
5Askøy2412751043
6Brann II2410771137
7Austevoll241077-637
8Førde249411-1031
9Sogndal II249312830
10Stord24699-1427
11Varegg246513-1123
12Åsane II245712-1622
13Gneist245316-3118
14Fyllingsdalen241320-566

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Os win, at 55.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.