Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Brann and 1.43 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Brann the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Brann home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lincoln Red Imps FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Brann and 1.43 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Brann win41%

Draw24%

Lincoln Red Imps FC win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–111.3%
2–18.7%
1–28.0%
1–07.9%
0–17.3%

Recent form

Brann

2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Start · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Bodo/Glimt · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Start · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 1-2 (L)

Lincoln Red Imps FC

2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mons Calpe · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Europa Point · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-30T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Glacis United · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-27T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Larne · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-23T19:00:00.000Z · H vs St Joseph S Fc · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.