World · UEFA Champions League Women · Qualifying16:00

2 – 1

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Brann Stadion · Referee A. Pesu · Analysis updated 02:11 UTC

Brann W vs Austria Wien W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Brann W and 1.30 for Austria Wien W, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Brann W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brann W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Austria Wien W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brann W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Brann W and 1.30 for Austria Wien W, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Brann W win41%
Draw26%
Austria Wien W win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–27.8%

Recent form

Brann W

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs HJK W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stabæk W · 1-0 (W)

Austria Wien W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Champions League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W220096
2Lyon W211084
3Paris Saint Germain W211054
4Bayern Munich W211034
5Arsenal W211014
6Inter Milano W211014
7Chelsea W211014
8Køge W210133
9Juventus W210123
10SL Benfica W2101-23
11Manchester City W202002
12Real Madrid W202002
13Austria Wien W2011-11
14Paris FC W2011-31
15OH Leuven W2011-51
16Roma W2011-61
17Häcken W2002-40
18Servette Chênois W2002-120

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.