Brann Stadion · Analysis updated 12:09 UTC
Brann W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Brann W and 1.33 for Czarni Sosnowiec W, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Brann W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Brann W win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brann W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Czarni Sosnowiec W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Brann W and 1.33 for Czarni Sosnowiec W, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–06.8%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Brann W
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyn W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Wien W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Røa W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss W · 3-0 (W)
Czarni Sosnowiec W
- 2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Akademia Piłkarska LG W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Slask Wroclaw W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Breidablik W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:45:00.000Z · H vs UJ Krakow W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brann W win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.