Stemmemyren idrettsplass · Analysis updated 00:33 UTC
Brann W vs HJK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Brann W and 1.14 for HJK W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Brann W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brann W win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brann W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
HJK W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Brann W and 1.14 for HJK W, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–16.7%
Recent form
Brann W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs HJK W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stabæk W · 1-0 (W)
HJK W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åland United W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs HPS W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Brann W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brann W win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.