England · Non League Div One - Isthmian North · Isthmian North - 3814:00

0 – 2

Saturday, 4 April 2026

WroxhamLWLWW

Brantham Leisure Centre · Analysis updated 13:01 UTC

Brantham Athletic vs Wroxham Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.77 expected goals for Brantham Athletic and 1.40 for Wroxham, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Wroxham the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wroxham win

51.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Brantham Athletic home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wroxham away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wroxham to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 21% / 28% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.77 goals for Brantham Athletic and 1.40 for Wroxham, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Brantham Athletic win21%
Draw28%
Wroxham win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 0–115.9%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 0–211.1%
  • 1–08.8%

Recent form

Brantham Athletic

  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Waltham Abbey · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambridge City · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Witham Town · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Walthamstow · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brightlingsea Regent · 1-0 (W)

Wroxham

  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fakenham Town · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Takeley · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Heybridge Swifts · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Waltham Abbey · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gorleston · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Div One - Isthmian North table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maldon & Tiptree4230756497
2Felixstowe & Walton Utd4230755397
3Waltham Abbey42248103880
4Stanway Rovers42221192677
5Redbridge42218131871
6Gorleston4222515371
7Bowers & Pitsea421911123268
8Wroxham42191013767
9Witham Town42171114962
10Walthamstow42161016658
11Tilbury42151314358
12Concord Rangers4216818-256
13Cambridge City42141414956
14Brightlingsea Regent4216818-256
15Newmarket Town4215918054
16Lowestoft Town4214721-2249
17Takeley4213821-2947
18Grays Athletic4212822-1644
19Mildenhall Town4212525-2841
20Downham Town4281321-2937
21Heybridge Swifts427728-5628
22Brantham Athletic424434-8416

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wroxham win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.