Brantham Leisure Centre · Analysis updated 13:01 UTC
Brantham Athletic vs Wroxham Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.77 expected goals for Brantham Athletic and 1.40 for Wroxham, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Wroxham the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wroxham win
51.8% probability
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brantham Athletic home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wroxham away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wroxham to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 21% / 28% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.77 goals for Brantham Athletic and 1.40 for Wroxham, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.9%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–08.8%
Recent form
Brantham Athletic
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Waltham Abbey · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambridge City · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Witham Town · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Walthamstow · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brightlingsea Regent · 1-0 (W)
Wroxham
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fakenham Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Takeley · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Heybridge Swifts · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Waltham Abbey · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gorleston · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Div One - Isthmian North table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldon & Tiptree | 42 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 97 |
| 2 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd | 42 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 97 |
| 3 | Waltham Abbey | 42 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 80 |
| 4 | Stanway Rovers | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 77 |
| 5 | Redbridge | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 71 |
| 6 | Gorleston | 42 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 71 |
| 7 | Bowers & Pitsea | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 68 |
| 8 | Wroxham | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 67 |
| 9 | Witham Town | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 62 |
| 10 | Walthamstow | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 58 |
| 11 | Tilbury | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 58 |
| 12 | Concord Rangers | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | -2 | 56 |
| 13 | Cambridge City | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 56 |
| 14 | Brightlingsea Regent | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | -2 | 56 |
| 15 | Newmarket Town | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 54 |
| 16 | Lowestoft Town | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | -22 | 49 |
| 17 | Takeley | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | -29 | 47 |
| 18 | Grays Athletic | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | -16 | 44 |
| 19 | Mildenhall Town | 42 | 12 | 5 | 25 | -28 | 41 |
| 20 | Downham Town | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -29 | 37 |
| 21 | Heybridge Swifts | 42 | 7 | 7 | 28 | -56 | 28 |
| 22 | Brantham Athletic | 42 | 4 | 4 | 34 | -84 | 16 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wroxham win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.