· Analysis updated 00:36 UTC
Bravos do Maquis FC vs Petro de Luanda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Bravos do Maquis FC and 0.75 for Petro de Luanda, a combined total of 1.35. That distribution gives Petro de Luanda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 39%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 15% for over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bravos do Maquis FC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Petro de Luanda away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
61%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–026.0%
- 0–119.5%
- 1–015.5%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
Bravos do Maquis FC
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CD Lunda-Sul · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Maio · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo da Caála · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabuscorp · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs São Salvador · 0-1 (L)
Petro de Luanda
- 2026-09-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs São Salvador · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Songo · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Songo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Académica do Lobito · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Recreativo do Libolo · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-07T14:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 0-3 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2025-09-24T15:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 1-2 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2025-03-02T15:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 1-1 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2024-10-06T14:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 0-2 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2024-06-01T14:30:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 1-2 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2024-02-27T15:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 0-4 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2023-02-05T14:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 1-1 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2022-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 0-2 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2022-04-27T15:30:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 0-3 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
- 2021-12-01T14:00:00.000Z · Bravos do Maquis FC 2-3 Petro de Luanda (Girabola)
Girabola table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiliete | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Desportivo Huíla | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Petro de Luanda | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Bravos do Maquis FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | 1º de Agosto | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Interclube | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Sagrada Esperança | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | CD Lunda-Sul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Recreativo do Libolo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | São Salvador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | 1º de Maio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Recreativo da Caála | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Kabuscorp | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Luanda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Sporting de Cabinda | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Académica do Lobito | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 24% and over 2.5 goals at 15%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.