Bravos do Maquis FC vs Redonda FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Bravos do Maquis FC and 0.65 for Redonda FC, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Bravos do Maquis FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bravos do Maquis FC win

58.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bravos do Maquis FC home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Redonda FC away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bravos do Maquis FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 26% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Bravos do Maquis FC and 0.65 for Redonda FC, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Bravos do Maquis FC win59%

Draw26%

Redonda FC win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%

Over 2.5 goals37%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score37%

Correct score

1–017.3%
2–013.2%
0–011.4%
1–111.3%
2–18.6%

Recent form

Bravos do Maquis FC

2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo da Caála · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabuscorp · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs São Salvador · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo do Libolo · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sagrada Esperança · 3-0 (W)

Redonda FC

2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Agosto · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiliete · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bravos do Maquis FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sagrada Esperança · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Desportivo Huíla · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Girabola table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wiliete	6	5	1	0	11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	4	2	0	7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	4	2	1	5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	4	2	0	4	14
5	Interclube	7	4	1	2	3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	4	1	2	3	13
7	Sagrada Esperança	7	3	2	2	2	11
8	Recreativo do Libolo	7	3	0	4	-5	9
9	São Salvador	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	1º de Maio	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	1	3	3	-2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	FC Luanda	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	0	4	3	-5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	8	0	3	5	-9	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bravos do Maquis FC win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.