World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · Qualifying — Semi-Finals17:30

8 – 1

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 16:39 UTC

Breidablik W vs Csikszereda MC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Breidablik W and 2.33 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Csikszereda MC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Csikszereda MC W win

51.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Breidablik W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Csikszereda MC W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Csikszereda MC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 29% / 20% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Breidablik W and 2.33 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Breidablik W win29%
Draw20%
Csikszereda MC W win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 1–36.3%
  • 2–16.0%

Recent form

Breidablik W

  • 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo-BGU W · 3-2 (W)

Csikszereda MC W

  • 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Csikszereda MC W win, at 51.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.