· Referee K. Sipos · Analysis updated 07:54 UTC
Breidablik W vs Spartak Subotica W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Breidablik W and 1.72 for Spartak Subotica W, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Breidablik W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Breidablik W win
49.7% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Breidablik W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Subotica W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Breidablik W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 20% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Breidablik W and 1.72 for Spartak Subotica W, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–16.1%
Recent form
Breidablik W
- 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 8-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo-BGU W · 3-2 (W)
Spartak Subotica W
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-10-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Breidablik W · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Breidablik W · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizani W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Breidablik W win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.