· Analysis updated 16:11 UTC
Breitenrain vs Young Boys II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Breitenrain and 1.52 for Young Boys II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Breitenrain the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Breitenrain win
58.5% probability
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Breitenrain home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Young Boys II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–05.6%
Recent form
Breitenrain
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zürich II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bavois · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bellinzona · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Biel-Bienne · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Grand-Saconnex · 0-1 (L)
Young Boys II
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Amical Saint-Prex · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bavois · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Biel-Bienne · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Luzern II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T17:30:00.000Z · Breitenrain 4-2 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 3-0 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2025-11-23T12:30:00.000Z · Breitenrain 2-3 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2025-02-15T14:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 0-0 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2024-08-11T12:30:00.000Z · Breitenrain 3-4 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2024-03-09T14:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 1-1 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2023-09-02T13:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 2-1 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2023-04-29T14:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 3-2 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2022-10-23T13:30:00.000Z · Breitenrain 1-3 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
- 2022-03-26T15:00:00.000Z · Breitenrain 1-2 Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion)
1. Liga Promotion table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 25 |
| 3 | Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Bulle | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Basel II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Zürich II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Breitenrain | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | YF Juventus | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Amical Saint-Prex | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Brühl | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Lugano II | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Young Boys II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Bavois | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Breitenrain win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.