Bremer SV vs Heeslinger SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Bremer SV and 1.20 for Heeslinger SC, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Bremer SV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bremer SV win

53.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bremer SV home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Heeslinger SC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bremer SV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Bremer SV and 1.20 for Heeslinger SC, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bremer SV win53%

Draw23%

Heeslinger SC win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–110.4%
2–19.7%
1–08.7%
2–08.1%
1–26.2%

Recent form

Bremer SV

2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiche Flensburg · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Lübeck · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs VfB Oldenburg · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Todesfelde · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Emden · 2-3 (L)

Heeslinger SC

2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vorsfelde · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordhorn · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spelle-Venhaus · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Egestorf · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bersenbrück · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-19T12:30:00.000Z · Bremer SV 0-1 Heeslinger SC (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-07-15T18:00:00.000Z · Bremer SV 1-2 Heeslinger SC (Friendlies Clubs)
2020-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · Bremer SV 2-4 Heeslinger SC (Friendlies Clubs)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bremer SV win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.