Brentford Community Stadium · Referee D. England · Analysis updated 13:07 UTC
Brentford vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Brentford and 2.98 for Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined total of 5.28. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Frankfurt win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
2.30 – 2.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brentford home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 30% / 17% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Brentford and 2.98 for Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined 5.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.0%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–25.2%
- 1–35.2%
- 3–24.6%
Recent form
Brentford
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Liverpool · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Aston Villa · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-18T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Chelsea · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Reading · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bournemouth · 2-2 (D)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- 2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Köln · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankfurt win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.