· Analysis updated 16:00 UTC
Břidličná vs Frýdlant Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Břidličná and 1.50 for Frýdlant, a combined total of 4.45. That distribution gives Břidličná the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Břidličná win
67.0% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Břidličná home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Frýdlant away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Břidličná to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.95 goals for Břidličná and 1.50 for Frýdlant, a combined 4.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.6%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–25.7%
- 3–25.6%
- 4–15.5%
Recent form
Břidličná
- 2026-08-29T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hlučín · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bospor Bohumín · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 0-2 (L)
Frýdlant
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vratimov · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Kravare | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Opava II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Stonava | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Valašské Meziříčí | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Zabreh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Frydek-Mistek B | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Pustá Polom | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -30 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Břidličná win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.