Fotbalovy stadion TJ Bridlicna · Analysis updated 13:37 UTC
Břidličná vs Hlučín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Břidličná and 1.79 for Hlučín, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Hlučín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hlučín win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Břidličná home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hlučín away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hlučín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Břidličná and 1.79 for Hlučín, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
Recent form
Břidličná
- 2026-08-29T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hlučín · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bospor Bohumín · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 0-2 (L)
Hlučín
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nový Jičín · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pustá Polom · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hlučín win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.