Czech-Republic · Cup · Round of 12815:00

2 – 2

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

Fotbalovy stadion TJ Bridlicna · Analysis updated 08:36 UTC

Břidličná vs Tatran Všechovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Břidličná and 2.18 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tatran Všechovice win

57.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Břidličná home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tatran Všechovice away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tatran Všechovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 22% / 20% / 57% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Břidličná and 2.18 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Břidličná win22%
Draw20%
Tatran Všechovice win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 1–36.9%
  • 0–16.7%

Recent form

Břidličná

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vratimov · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 2-1 (W)

Tatran Všechovice

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tatran Všechovice win, at 57.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.