· Analysis updated 10:53 UTC
Bridlington Town vs Whitby Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Bridlington Town and 1.18 for Whitby Town, a combined total of 3.69. That distribution gives Bridlington Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bridlington Town win
66.3% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bridlington Town home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Whitby Town away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bridlington Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 18% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Bridlington Town and 1.18 for Whitby Town, a combined 3.69 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–06.6%
Recent form
Bridlington Town
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitby Town · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Congleton Town · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Garforth Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Whitby Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Brighouse Town · 8-0 (W)
Whitby Town
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Workington · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bamber Bridge · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Gainsborough Trinity · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lancaster City · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bridlington Town · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Bridlington Town 3-0 Whitby Town (FA Trophy)
- 2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · Bridlington Town 2-2 Whitby Town (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bridlington Town win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.