Calwell Field · Analysis updated 13:51 UTC
Brindabella vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Brindabella and 1.83 for Canberra White Eagles, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Canberra White Eagles the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Canberra White Eagles win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brindabella home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Canberra White Eagles away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 2–17.2%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Brindabella
- 2026-08-22T04:30:00.000Z · A vs Canberra Olympic · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Cooma Tigers FC · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Tuggeranong United · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Queanbeyan City · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-29T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Queanbeyan City · 2-0 (W)
Canberra White Eagles
- 2026-08-22T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Monaro Panthers · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T05:00:00.000Z · A vs O'Connor Knights · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Canberra Juventus · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Brindabella · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-22T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Tuggeranong United · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 1-2 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL)
- 2026-05-02T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 2-0 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL)
- 2025-08-16T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 2-0 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
- 2025-06-28T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 2-3 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
- 2025-05-03T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 4-4 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
- 2024-08-10T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 1-0 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
- 2024-06-15T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 8-0 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
- 2024-04-27T05:00:00.000Z · Brindabella 5-0 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL 2)
Capital Territory NPL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra FC | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 52 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 46 |
| 3 | Cooma Tigers FC | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 44 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -15 | 20 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 9 |
| 10 | Brindabella | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | -51 | 9 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | -43 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Canberra White Eagles win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.