· Analysis updated 17:19 UTC
Bristol City U21 vs Sheffield United U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Bristol City U21 and 1.62 for Sheffield United U21, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Bristol City U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.9% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bristol City U21 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sheffield United U21 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.7%
Recent form
Bristol City U21
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hull City U21 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Peterborough United U21 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Reading U21 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sheffield United U21 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 · 1-1 (D)
Sheffield United U21
- 2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Barnsley U21 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Charlton Athletic U21 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cardiff City U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bristol City U21 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs West Ham United U21 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-13T13:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 2-1 Sheffield United U21 (Professional Development League)
- 2025-12-22T19:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 1-2 Sheffield United U21 (Premier League Cup)
- 2025-12-05T19:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 1-2 Sheffield United U21 (Premier League Cup)
- 2024-08-12T13:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 1-1 Sheffield United U21 (Professional Development League)
- 2023-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 0-4 Sheffield United U21 (Professional Development League)
- 2023-05-15T11:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 0-4 Sheffield United U21 (Professional Development League)
- 2023-04-04T12:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 0-0 Sheffield United U21 (Professional Development League)
- 2022-12-19T13:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 4-1 Sheffield United U21 (Premier League Cup)
- 2022-11-21T14:00:00.000Z · Bristol City U21 1-2 Sheffield United U21 (Premier League Cup)
Professional Development League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers Res. | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry City U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheffield United U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cardiff City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Swansea City U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Wigan Athletic U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton Athletic U21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Queens Park Rangers U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough United U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester United U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull City U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.