· Analysis updated 09:17 UTC
Britannia vs Weymouth Wales Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Britannia and 1.00 for Weymouth Wales, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Britannia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Britannia win
45.4% probability
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Britannia home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Weymouth Wales away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Britannia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Britannia and 1.00 for Weymouth Wales, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.8%
Recent form
Britannia
- 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Weymouth Wales · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-18T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-06-17T00:30:00.000Z · A vs La Fama · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-10T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Sporting · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-30T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Dakota · 1-0 (W)
Weymouth Wales
- 2026-07-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Britannia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-29T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Pride of Gall Hill · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Kick Start · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-18T00:00:00.000Z · H vs UWI Blackbirds · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Metropolitan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Robin Hood | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Slingerz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Delfines Del Este | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Inter Willemstad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Helenites | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Elite | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | St. John's | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | La Clery FL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | North Leeward | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Britannia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | All Saints United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Baltimore | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Weymouth Wales | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Prison Service | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Roaring Lions | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Dublanc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | VG United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | St. Pauls United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | SWA Sharks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Britannia win, at 45.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.