· Analysis updated 05:23 UTC
Brittons Hill vs St. Andrew Lions Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Brittons Hill and 1.08 for St. Andrew Lions, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Brittons Hill the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brittons Hill win
65.3% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brittons Hill home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
St. Andrew Lions away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brittons Hill to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for Brittons Hill and 1.08 for St. Andrew Lions, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–18.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 3–17.5%
Recent form
Brittons Hill
- 2026-05-28T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellerton · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-24T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Paradise · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-17T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Wotton · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-05-05T23:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Andrew Lions · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-04-26T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Weymouth Wales · 1-2 (L)
St. Andrew Lions
- 2026-05-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs UWI Blackbirds · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-17T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Kick Start · 0-23 (L)
- 2026-05-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellerton · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-05T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Brittons Hill · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Paradise · 1-7 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weymouth Wales | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 49 |
| 2 | Brittons Hill | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Ellerton | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 |
| 4 | UWI Blackbirds | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Pride of Gall Hill | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Kick Start | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Paradise | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Wotton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 9 | Deacons | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 17 |
| 10 | Silver Sands | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | -59 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brittons Hill win, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.