· Analysis updated 15:48 UTC
Broadfields United vs Chichester City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Broadfields United and 1.68 for Chichester City, a combined total of 3.44. That distribution gives Broadfields United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.0% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Broadfields United home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chichester City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Broadfields United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Broadfields United and 1.68 for Chichester City, a combined 3.44 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.6%
Recent form
Broadfields United
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Snodland Town · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs London Lions · 4-2 (W)
- 2025-07-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Colney Heath · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-07-19T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Leverstock Green · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-07-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Romania · 2-1 (W)
Chichester City
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Hanworth Villa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thame United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Chertsey Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SE Dons · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uxbridge · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.