Brøndby Stadium · Referee A. Uslu · Analysis updated 14:27 UTC
Brondby vs Silkeborg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Brondby and 0.78 for Silkeborg, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Brondby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brondby win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brondby home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Silkeborg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.3%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–011.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
Recent form
Brondby
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyngby · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sirius · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-4 (L)
Silkeborg
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyngby · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viborg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Midtjylland · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-27T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-24T17:00:00.000Z · Brondby 3-1 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2026-03-06T10:00:00.000Z · Brondby 2-0 Silkeborg (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-11-02T19:00:00.000Z · Brondby 2-0 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2025-07-20T18:00:00.000Z · Brondby 3-0 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2025-05-07T16:30:00.000Z · Brondby 1-2 Silkeborg (DBU Pokalen)
- 2025-04-30T16:30:00.000Z · Brondby 3-3 Silkeborg (DBU Pokalen)
- 2025-03-16T16:00:00.000Z · Brondby 2-2 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2024-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · Brondby 3-3 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2024-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · Brondby 2-0 Silkeborg (Superliga)
- 2024-04-08T17:00:00.000Z · Brondby 1-1 Silkeborg (Superliga)
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brondby win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.