· Analysis updated 06:10 UTC
Brora Rangers vs Lossiemouth Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Brora Rangers and 0.91 for Lossiemouth, a combined total of 5.41. That distribution gives Brora Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 92%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 92% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Brora Rangers win
91.6% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brora Rangers home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lossiemouth away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brora Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 92%, against 92% / 6% / 3% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Brora Rangers and 0.91 for Lossiemouth, a combined 5.41 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
97%
Double chance 12
95%
Double chance X2
8%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–07.7%
- 4–17.0%
- 5–06.9%
- 3–06.8%
- 5–16.3%
Recent form
Brora Rangers
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fraserburgh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nairn County · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Forres Mechanics · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rothes · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Keith · 5-0 (W)
Lossiemouth
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Banks O' Dee · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Buckie Thistle · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Musselburgh Athletic · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wick Academy · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Formartine United · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Football League - Highland League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 42 | 39 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | Formartine United | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Banks O' Dee | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Clachnacuddin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Huntly | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | Strathspey Thistle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 |
| 9 | Forres Mechanics | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Nairn County | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Buckie Thistle | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 | Turriff United | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 19 |
| 13 | Deveronvale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Keith | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Lossiemouth | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 13 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -27 | 9 |
| 18 | Rothes | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | -50 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brora Rangers win, at 91.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 92% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.