Brora Rangers vs Nairn County Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.82 expected goals for Brora Rangers and 1.10 for Nairn County, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Brora Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Brora Rangers win

73.0% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.82 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Brora Rangers home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brora Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 15% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.82 goals for Brora Rangers and 1.10 for Nairn County, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Brora Rangers win73%

Draw15%

Nairn County win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

2–18.7%
3–18.2%
2–07.9%
3–07.4%
1–16.1%

Recent form

Brora Rangers

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fraserburgh · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nairn County · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Forres Mechanics · 5-2 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rothes · 9-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Keith · 5-0 (W)

Nairn County

2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fraserburgh · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Turriff United · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brora Rangers · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Strathspey Thistle · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gretna 2008 · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Football League - Highland League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brora Rangers	15	12	3	0	42	39
2	Inverurie Loco Works	16	9	5	2	10	32
3	Formartine United	15	8	4	3	9	28
4	Fraserburgh	15	7	6	2	16	27
5	Banks O' Dee	15	7	4	4	12	25
6	Clachnacuddin	14	6	5	3	16	23
7	Huntly	15	6	4	5	7	22
8	Strathspey Thistle	16	6	4	6	7	22
9	Forres Mechanics	15	6	3	6	1	21
10	Deveronvale	16	6	3	7	0	21
11	Nairn County	16	5	6	5	-2	21
12	Turriff United	16	6	2	8	-1	20
13	Buckie Thistle	14	6	1	7	8	19
14	Keith	15	5	3	7	-10	18
15	Lossiemouth	15	5	3	7	-14	18
16	Invergordon	15	4	1	10	-21	13
17	Wick Academy	16	3	1	12	-27	10
18	Rothes	15	1	0	14	-53	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Brora Rangers win, at 73.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.