· Analysis updated 16:16 UTC
Brumov vs Hluk Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Brumov and 2.70 for Hluk, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Hluk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hluk win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Brumov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hluk away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hluk to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 29% / 18% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Brumov and 2.70 for Hluk, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.6%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–36.0%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.9%
Recent form
Brumov
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Holešov · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 1-4 (L)
Hluk
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Lanžhot · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozlovice · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Břeclav · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Holešov · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | SK Krumvir | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Sokol Lanžhot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Slavičín | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Břeclav | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Holešov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumov | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -19 | 7 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 15 | Kroměříž II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Baťov | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -33 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hluk win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.